Berlinale 2016: Golden Bear odds

MHL

5-2: Things To Come (Hansen-Løve; 100m; France/Ger)
7-2: Being 17 (Téchiné; 116m; France)
4-1: Fire at Sea (Rosi; 108m; Italy/Fr)
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9-1: A Lullaby to the Sorrowful Mystery (Diaz; 485m; Philippines/Sin)
14-1: Death in Sarajevo (Tanović; 85m; Bosnia-Herzegovina/France)
14-1: United States of Love (Wasilewski; 104m; Poland/Swe)
14-1: Soy Nero (Pitts; 120m; Germany/Fr/Mex)
16-1: Hedi (Ben Attia; 88m; Tunisia/Bel/Fr)
16-1: Crosscurrent (Yang; 116m; China)

25-1: The Commune (Vinterberg; 111m; Denmark/Swe/Net)
25-1: 24 Weeks (Berrached; 102m; Germany)
28-1: Zero Days (Gibney; 116m; USA)

40-1: Letters From War (Ferreira; 105m; Portugal)
50-1: Midnight Special (Nichols; 112m; USA)
50-1: A Dragon Arrives! (Haghighi; 107m; Iran)

100-1: Boris Without Béatrice (Côté; 93m; Canada)
200-1: Genius (Grandage; 104m; UK/USA)
200-1: Alone in Berlin (Perez; 103m; Germany/Fr/GB)
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predictions
Golden Bear: Things to Come
Grand Prix: Being 17
Best Director: Gianfranco Rosi, Fire at Sea
Best Screenplay: Danis Tanović & Bernard-Henri Lévy, Death in Sarajevo
Alfred Bauer Prize: A Lullaby To the Sorrowful Mystery
Technical Prize: Mark Lee Ping-bin, Crosscurrent

Best Actress:
4-1 Julia Kijowska, Magdalena Cielecka, Dorota Kolak & Marta Nieradkiewicz, United States of Love
5-1 Isabelle Huppert, Things To Come
6-1 Sandrine Kilberlain, Being 17
7-1 Trine Dyrholm, The Commune
8-1 Julia Jentsch, 24 Weeks
20-1 female ensemble, Death in Sarajevo
25-1 anyone from Lullaby to the Sorrowful Mystery

Best Actor:
11-8 Majd Mastoura, Hedi
4-1 Kacey Mottet Klein (solo or with Corentin Fila), Being 17
8-1 James Hyndman, Boris Without Béatrice
8-1 Michael Shannon (solo or with Joel Edgerton), Midnight Special
9-1 Johnny Ortiz, Soy Nero
16-1 male ensemble, Death in Sarajevo
25-1 anyone from Lullaby to the Sorrowful Mystery

– – – – – updated Fri 19 Feb 11.15am (UK time) – – – – –

jury: Meryl Streep (President, USA); actor Lars Eidinger (Germany), film critic Nick James (United Kingdom), photographer Brigitte Lacombe (France), actor Clive Owen (United Kingdom), actress Alba Rohrwacher (Italy) and director Małgorzata Szumowska (Poland).