Neil Young's Film Lounge - Oscar Predictions

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Listed below are the nominees in order of win probability

ACTUAL WINNER IN BOLD
o = hard to beat. # = serious win candidate. + = not without a chance. x = no hope

Best Picture

1 o Chicago
2 + The Hours
3 + Gangs of New York
4 x The Lord of the Rings : The Two Towers
5 x The Pianist

Best Director

1 o Rob Marshall - Chicago
2 # Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York
3 x Stephen Daldry - The Hours
4 x Pedro Almodovar – Talk To Her
5 x Roman Polanski - The Pianist

Best Actor

1 # Daniel Day-Lewis – Gangs of New York
2 # Adrien Brody – The Pianist
3 + Jack Nicholson – About Schmidt
4 x Nicolas Cage – Adaptation.
5 x Michael Caine – The Quiet American

Best Actress

1 # Nicole Kidman – The Hours
2 # Renee Zellweger – Chicago
3 # Julianne Moore – Far From Heaven
4 + Diane Lane – Unfaithful
5 x Salma Hayek – Frida

Best Supporting Actor

1 # Christopher Walken – Catch Me If You Can
2 # Chris Cooper – Adaptation.
3 + Ed Harris – The Hours
4 + John C Reilly – Chicago
5 + Paul Newman – Road to Perdition

Best Supporting Actress

1 # Catherine Zeta-Jones – Chicago
2 # Julianne Moore – The Hours
3 # Meryl Streep – Adaptation.
4 + Kathy Bates – About Schmidt
5 x Queen Latifah – Chicago

Best Original Screenplay

1 # Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
2 # Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
3 # Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
4 + Cocks, Zaillian, Lonergan - Gangs of New York
5 x Cuaron and Cuaron - Y Tu Mama Tambien

Best Adapted Screenplay

1 # David Hare -The Hours
2 # Charlie Kaufman – Adaptation.
3 # Bill Condon - Chicago
4 x Ronald Harwood - The Pianist
5 x Weitz, Weitz and Hedges - About A Boy

Best Foreign Film

1 # Finland : The Man Without A Past
2 # Germany : Nowhere In Africa
3 + Mexico : The Crime of Father Amaro
4 + China : Hero
5 x The Netherlands : Zus and Zo

Best Animated Feature

1 # Lilo and Stitch (C Sanders)
2 # Spirit : Stallion of the Cimarron (J Katzenberg)
3 # Spirited Away (H Miyazaki)
4 # Ice Age (C Wedge)
5 x Treasure Planet (R Clements)

Best Original Song

1 # “I Move On” (Chicago) – Kander & Ebb
2 # “Father and Daughter” (The Wild Thornberrys Movie) – Paul Simon
3 # “The Hands That Built America” (Gangs of New York) – U2
4 + “Lose Yourself” (8 Mile) – Eminem
5 + “Burn It Blue” (Frida) – Goldenthal and Taymor

Click here for the Jigsaw Lounge Top 3's in various categories for 2002.

NOW CHECK OUT THE JIGSAW LOUNGE VERDICT ON THESE OSCAR NOMINATED MOVIES

Adaptation (8/10)
Bowling For Columbine (7/10)
Far From Heaven (9/10)
Gangs of New York (5/10)
Ice Age (5/10)
The Man Without a Past (8/10)
The Pianist (6/10)
Road to Perdition (5/10)
Unfaithful (6/10)

Attack of the Clones (4/10)
Chicago (5/10)
8 Mile (1/10)
The Hours (6/10)
Lilo and Stitch (6/10)
Minority Report (7/10)
The Quiet American (6/10)
The Two Towers (7/10)
Y Tu Mama Tambien (6/10)

...and the outrageously overlooked:
Punch-Drunk Love (10/10) should have been nominated for - everything
City of God (9/10) foreign language
Frailty (8/10) picture, director, actor, original screenplay
Occident (8/10) foreign language
S1M0NE (8/10) picture, director, original screenplay, actor, art direction
The Son (8/10) foregin language
24 Hour Party People (8/10) picture, director, actor, original screenplay, original song

Click here for the Jigsaw Lounge Top 3's in various categories for 2002.

PREDICTED WINNERS IN THE REMAINING CATEGORIES:

CINEMATOGRAPHY
1 # Road to Perdition (C L Hall)
2 # Chicago (D Beebe)
3 + Far From Heaven (E Lachman)
4 + Gangs of New York (M Ballhaus)
5 x The Pianist (P Edelman)

FILM EDITING
1 # Chicago (M Walsh)
2 # The Hours (P Boyle)
3 # Gangs of New York (T Schoonmaker)
4 + The Lord of the Rings : The Two Towers (M Horton)
5 x The Pianist (H de Luze)

ORIGINAL SCORE
1 # The Hours (P Glass)
2 # Far From Heaven (E Bernstein)
3 # Frida (E Goldenthal)
4 + Road To Perdition (T Newman)
5 x Catch Me If You Can (J Williams)

ART DIRECTION
1 # Chicago (J Myrhe and G Sim)
2 # Frida (F F Del Paso and H Robledo)
3 # Road To Perdition (D Gassner and N Haigh)
4 + Gangs of New York (D Ferretti and F Lo Schiavo)
5 + Lord of the Rings : The Two Towers (G Major, D Hennah, A Lee)

COSTUME DESIGN
1 # Chicago (C Atwood)
2 # The Hours (A Roth)
3 + Frida (J Weiss)
4 + Gangs of New York (S Powell)
5 + The Pianist (A Sheppard)

MAKEUP
1 o Frida (J Jackson and B De Alba)
2 + The Time Machine (J Elliott, Jr and B Lorenz)

VISUAL EFFECTS
1 o The Lord of the Rings : The Two Towers (Rygiel, Letteri, Cook, Funke, Gollum)
2 + Star Wars Episode II : Attack of the Clones (Coleman, Helman, Knoll, Snow)
3 + Spider-Man (Dykstra, Stokdyk, LaMolinara, Frazier)

SOUND
1 # Chicago (Minkler, Tavella, Lee)
2 # The Lord of the Rings : The Two Towers (Boyes, Semanick, Hedges, Peek)
3 # Spider-Man (O’Connell, Russell, Novick)
4 # Road To Perdition (Millan, Beemer, Pritchett)
5 + Gangs of New York (Fleischman, Gearty, Sharrock)

SOUND EDITING
1 # Minority Report (R Hymns and G Rydstrom)
2 # The Lord of the Rings : The Two Towers (E Van der Ryn and M Hopkins)
3 # Road To Perdition (S Hecker)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1 # Prisoner of Paradise
2 # Spellbound
3 # Winged Migration
4 # Bowling For Columbine
5 # Daughter From Danang

DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Mighty Times – The Legacy of Rosa Parks (danger: The Twin Towers)

ANIMATED SHORT
Das Rad (dangers: Mike’s New Car, Mt Head)
winner: The ChubChubbs

LIVE ACTION SHORT
I’ll Wait for the Next One (dangers: Inja, Fait d’Hiver)
winner: This Charming Man

Also check out our predictions for Next Year's Oscars or even the year after.

Click here for a feature of how the Oscar race stood at Xmas 2002.

Fancy a flutter? With our fool-proof* predictions you can confidently bet on the Oscars by clicking on this advertisement and signing up.

*Warning - may not be fool-proof.