Cannes 2016: Palme d’Or and acting-prizes odds

Published on: May 20th, 2016

Peter Simonischek ist in _Toni Erdmann_ in einer Doppelrolle zu sehen, als Toni und als Winfried
6-4 Ade / Toni Erdmann
9-2 Loach / I, Daniel Blake
8-1 Farhadi / The Salesman
9-1 Mendonça Filho / Aquarius
10-1 Almodóvar / Julieta
14-1 Jarmusch / Paterson
16-1 Mendoza / Ma’Rosa
16-1 Arnold / American Honey
– – – – –
25-1 Verhoeven / Elle
25-1 Nichols / Loving
25-1 Puiu / Sieranevada
33-1 Mungiu / Graduation
40-1 Dardenne & Dardenne / The Unknown Girl
40-1 Dumont / Slack Bay
50-1 Guiraudie / Staying Vertical
50-1 Assayas / Personal Shopper
66-1 Dolan / It’s Only the End of the World
– – – – –
100-1 Park / The Handmaiden
200-1 Garcia / From the Land of the Moon
200-1 Refn / The Neon Demon
1000-1 Penn / The Last Face

updated 20th May 2016

Sonia-Braga-Roteiro-Aquarius-NYC-ok

ACTRESS
6-4 Aquarius (Sônia Braga)
– – – – –
5-1 The Unknown Girl (Adèle Haenel)
6-1 Toni Erdmann (Sandra Hüller)
8-1 Elle (Isabelle Huppert)
9-1 Julieta (A.Ugarte, E.Suarez, R.de Palma)
12-1 Ruth Negga (Loving)
14-1 Personal Shopper (Kristen Stewart)
16-1 American Honey (Sasha Lane)
– – – – –
20-1 I, Daniel Blake (Hayley Squires)
22-1 From the Land of the Moon (Marion Cotillard)
25-1 The Handmaiden (KIM Min-Hee)
33-1 The Salesman (Taraneh Alidootsi)
– – – – –
40-1 Paterson (Golshifteh Farahani)
40-1 Slack Bay (J.Binoche, V.Bruni Tedeschi, etc)
40-1 Sieranevada
40-1 Ma’Rosa (Jaclyn Jose)
66-1 The Neon Demon (Elle Fanning)
66-1 It’s Only the End of the World (N.Baye, M.Cotillard, L.Seydoux)-1
66-1 Graduation (M.Dragus, LBugnar)
100-1 The Last Face (Charlize Theron)
150-1 Staying Vertical (India Hair)

Peter Simonischek ist in _Toni Erdmann_ in einer Doppelrolle zu sehen, als Toni und als Winfried

ACTOR
7-2 Toni Erdmann (Peter Simonischek)
7-2 I, Daniel Blake (Dave Johns)
9-2 The Salesman (Shobeib Hosseini)
7-1 Paterson (Adam Driver)
10-1 Graduation (Adrian Titieni)
– – – – – – – –
22-1 Staying Vertical (Damien Bonnard)
28-1 Slack Bay (Fabrice Luchini, etc)
28-1 Sieranevada
33-1 Loving (Joel Edgerton)
– – – – – –
50-1 Its Only the End of the World
66-1 The Unknown Girl
80-1 American Honey (Shia LaBeouf)
80-1 The Handmaiden (HA Jung-Woo)
100-1 Personal Shopper (Lars Eidinger)
100-1 From the Land of the Moon
100-1 Ma’Rosa
150-1 Elle (Laurent Lafitte)
– – – – –
250-1 The Neon Demon
250-1 Aquarius
300-1 The Last Face
500-1 Julieta

 

 

 

 

 

 

eve-of-announcement standings

5-1 Almodóvar / Julieta (Emma Suárez, Adriana Ugarte, Rossy de Palma) BD
11-2 Farhadi / The Salesman (Shaheib Hosseini, Taraneh Alidootsi)*?
6-1 Puiu / Sierra-Nevada (Mimi Branescu, Bogdan Dumitrache) ucr
——–
12-1 Verhoeven / Elle (Isabelle Huppert, Laurent Lafitte)
14-1 Arnold / American Honey (Sasha Lane, Arielle Holmes, Shia Labeouf)
14-1 Bellocchio / Sweet Dreams (Bérénice Bejo, Valerio Mastandrea)
16-1 Larraín / Neruda (Luis Gnecco, Gael Garcia Bernal)
———
20-1 Quillévéré / Heart aka Réparer les Vivants (Anne Dorval, Tahar Rahim, Emmanuelle Seigner)
20-1 Kaplanoğlu / Grain (Jean-Marc Barr, Ermin Bravo, Lubna Azabal)
20-1 Boo / Apprentice   *?
22-1 Dumont / Slack Bay (Juliette Binoche, Fabrice Luchini)^? GPx2
25-1 Escalante / Untamed.  *?  BD
25-1 Kore-eda / After the Storm (Hiroshi Abe, Kirin Kiki)^? JP
25-1 Park / The Handmaid aka The Handmaiden (Kim Min-hee, Ha Jung-woo) GP
———–
28-1 Penn / The Last Face (Charlize Theron, Javier Bardem) BA
28-1 Dardenne & Dardenne / The Unknown Girl (Adèle Haenel, Jérémie Renier) PDx2
28-1 Bonello / Paris Is Happening aka Nocturama (Finnegan Oldfield, Manal Issa)
28-1 Dolan / It’s Only the End of the World (G.Ulliel, N.Baye, M.Cotillard, L.Seydoux) JP
28-1 Jarmusch / Paterson (Adam Driver, Golshifteh Farahani)^? GP
28-1 Guiraudie / Staying Vertical (India Hair, Raphael Thiery, Damien Bonnard)
28-1 Loach / I, Daniel Blake (Dave Johns, Hayley Squires) PD
28-1 Mungiu / Family Photos (Adrian Titieni, Lia Bugnar) PD
———————————————————-
35-1 des Pallières / Orphan (Adèle Exarchopoulos, Adèle Haenel)^?
35-1 Kurosawa / The Woman in the Silver Plate
….. (T.Rahim, O.Gourmet, M. Amalric) [Fr: 25 May]
40-1 Serra / The Death of Louis XIV (Jean-Pierre Léaud)^?
40-1 Tran / Eternity (A.Tautou, B.Bejo, M.Laurent) CD
40-1 Zlotowski / Planetarium (Natalie Portman, Lily-Rose Melody Depp)^
————————————————————————-
PD = Palme. GP = Grand Prix. BD = Best Director. JP = Jury Prize. BA = Best Actor. CD = Camera d’Or. ucr = Prix Un Certain Regard
bold = most likely to be competing
————————————————————————-
40-1+
Ando’ / The Confessions (Toni Servillo)
Assayas / Personal Shopper (Kristen Stewart, Lars Eidinger)
Beatty / untitled Howard Hughes project (Warren Beatty, Lily Collins)*
Brizé / A Life (Judith Chemla)
Cedar / Oppenheimer Strategies (Richard Gere, Lior Ashkenazi)
Chazelle / La la Land (Emma Stone, Ryan Gosling, J.K. Simmons)*?
Dvortsevoy / Ayka aka My Little One.    ucr
Franco / Zeroville (James Franco, Seth Rogen)
Garcia / From the Land of the Moon aka Mal de Pierres (Marion Cotillard, Louis Garrel)
Gray / Th