Berlinale 2018: Golden Bear and acting-prizes odds

4-1 Dovlatov by Alexey German Jr. (Russian Federation / Poland / Serbia) premiere 17-Feb, run-time 126m
9-2 Museo (Museum) by Alonso Ruizpalacios (Mexico) 22-Feb 128m
7-1 Utøya 22. juli (U – July 22) by Erik Poppe (Norway) 19-Feb, 90m
8-1 Twarz (Mug) by Małgorzata Szumowska* (Poland) 23-Feb, 91m

10-1 La prière (The Prayer) by Cédric Kahn (France) 18-Feb, 107m
10-1 Las herederas (The Heiresses) by Marcelo Martinessi (Paraguay/Ger/Uru/Nor/Brz/Fra) – First Feature. 16-Feb 95m
10-1 Ang Panahon ng Halimaw (Season of the Devil) by Lav Diaz* (Philippines) 20-Feb 234m
10-1 Transit by Christian Petzold* (Germany / France) 17-Feb, 101m
14-1 Isle of Dogs by Wes Anderson* (United Kingdom / Germany) – Animation. 15-Feb 101m
14-1 In den Gängen (In the Aisles) by Thomas Stuber (Germany) 23-Feb, 125m
16-1 Figlia mia (Daughter of Mine) by Laura Bispuri (Italy / Germany / Switzerland) 18-Feb 100m

25-1 Khook (Pig) by Mani Haghighi (Iran) 21-Feb, 108m
28-1 Touch Me Not by Adina Pintilie (Romania/Ger/Cze/Bul/Fr) – First Feature. 22-Feb, 122m
50-1 Mein Bruder heißt Robert und ist ein Idiot (My Brother’s Name is Robert and He is an Idiot) by Philip Gröning (Germany / France / Switzerland) 21-Feb, 174m
50-1 3 Tage in Quiberon (3 Days in Quiberon) by Emily Atef (Germany / Austria / France) 19-Feb 115m
50-1 Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot by Gus Van Sant (USA) 20-Feb 113m
50-1 Toppen av ingenting (The Real Estate) by Måns Månsson and Axel Petersén (Sweden / United Kingdom) 18-Feb, 88m
100-1 Eva by Benoit Jacquot (France / Belgium) 17-Feb, 102m
100-1 Damsel by David Zellner and Nathan Zellner (USA) 16-Feb 113m

*
Anderson won Grand Prix 2014 for The Grand Budapest Hotel.
Diaz won Alfred Bauer Prize in 2016 for A Lullaby to the Sorrowful Mystery.
Petzold won Best Director in 2012 for Barbara.
Szumowska won Best Director 2015 (shared) for Body.

BEST ACTRESS
5/2 The Heiresses (Ana Brun, Margarita Irún, and maybe Ana Ivanova)
9/2 The Real Estate (Léonore Ekstrand)
6/1 “3 Days in Quiberon” (Marie Bäumer)
7/1 Daughter of Mine (Alba Rohrwacher, Valeria Golino, Sara Casu)
9/1 U – July 22 (Andrea Berntzen)
16/1 Eva (Isabelle Huppert)
20/1 Touch Me Not (Laura Benson)
22/1 My Brother’s Name is Robert and He is an Idiot (Julia Zange)
22/1 In the Aisles (Sandra Hüller)
22/1 Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far On Foot (Rooney Mara)
25/1 Damsel (Mia Wasikowska)
28/1 Mug (Agnieszka Podsiadlik, Małgorzata Gorol)
40/1 Pig (Leila Hatami, Leili Rashidi)
40/1 Season of the Devil (Shaina Magdayao, Pinky Amador)

BEST ACTOR
6/4 Franz Rogowski (Transit and/or In the Aisles)
5/1 Mug (Mateusz Kościukiewicz)
5/1 Museum (Gael Garcia Bernal)
9/1 Dovlatov (Milan Marić)
10/1 Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far On Foot (River Phoenix, Jonah Hill, Jack Black)
12/1 Pig (Hasan Majuni)
14/1 The Prayer (Anthony Bajon)
20/1 My Brother’s Name is Robert and He is an Idiot (Josef Mattes)
33/1 Eva (Gaspard Ulliel)
40/1 Season of the Devil (Piolo Pascual)
40/1 Damsel (Robert Pattinson)
50/1 Touch Me Not (Tómas Lemarquis, Christian Bayerlein)
50/1 “3 Days in Quiberon” (Charly Hübner, Robert Gwisdek)

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ARCHIVE

1st February
5-1 Dovlatov by Alexey German Jr. (Russian Federation / Poland / Serbia)
6-1 Transit by Christian Petzold (Germany / France)
15-2 Ang Panahon ng Halimaw (Season of the Devil) by Lav Diaz (Philippines)
8-1 Twarz (Mug) by Małgorzata Szumowska (Poland)
9-1 Figlia mia (Daughter of Mine) by Laura Bispuri (Italy / Germany / Switzerland)
12-1 Isle of Dogs by Wes Anderson (United Kingdom / Germany) – Animation
14-1 Touch Me Not by Adina Pintilie (Romania / Germany / Czech Republic / Bulgaria / France) – First Feature
14-1 La prière (The Prayer) by Cédric Kahn (France)
14-1 Khook (Pig) by Mani Haghighi (Iran)
14-1 any late entrant
16-1 Las herederas (The Heiresses) by Marcelo Martinessi (Paraguay / Germany / Uruguay / Norway / Brazil / France) – First Feature
18-1 Museo (Museum) by Alonso Ruizpalacios (Mexico)
20-1 Eva by Benoit Jacquot (France / Belgium)
22-1 Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot by Gus Van Sant (USA)
25-1 Mein Bruder heißt Robert und ist ein Idiot (My Brother’s Name is Robert and He is an Idiot) by Philip Gröning (Germany / France / Switzerland)
25-1 Toppen av ingenting (The Real Estate) by Måns Månsson and Axel Petersén (Sweden / United Kingdom)
28-1 Damsel by David Zellner and Nathan Zellner (USA)
28-1 3 Tage in Quiberon (3 Days in Quiberon) by Emily Atef (Germany / Austria / France)
28-1 In den Gängen (In the Aisles) by Thomas Stuber (Germany)

15th February
4-1 Dovlatov by Alexey German Jr. (Russian Federation / Poland / Serbia) premieres 17-Feb, run-time 126m
6-1 Twarz (Mug) by Małgorzata Szumowska* (Poland) 21-Feb, 91m
13-2 La prière (The Prayer) by Cédric Kahn (France) 18-Feb, 107m
7-1 Figlia mia (Daughter of Mine) by Laura Bispuri (Italy / Germany / Switzerland) 18-Feb 100m
7-1 Transit by Christian Petzold* (Germany / France) 17-Feb, 101m
8-1 Ang Panahon ng Halimaw (Season of the Devil) by Lav Diaz* (Philippines) 20-Feb 234m
10-1 Isle of Dogs by Wes Anderson* (United Kingdom / Germany) – Animation. 15-Feb 101m
12-1 Mein Bruder heißt Robert und ist ein Idiot (My Brother’s Name is Robert and He is an Idiot) by Philip Gröning (Germany / France / Switzerland) 21-Feb, 174m
12-1 Las herederas (The Heiresses) by Marcelo Martinessi (Paraguay/Ger/Uru/Nor/Brz/Fra) – First Feature. 16-Feb 95m
12-1 Touch Me Not by Adina Pintilie (Romania/Ger/Cze/Bul/Fr) – First Feature. 22-Feb, 122m
14-1 Utøya 22. juli (U – July 22) by Erik Poppe (Norway) 19-Feb, 90m
20-1 Khook (Pig) by Mani Haghighi (Iran) 21-Feb, 108m
22-1 Toppen av ingenting (The Real Estate) by Måns Månsson and Axel Petersén (Sweden / United Kingdom) 18-Feb, 88m
25-1 Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot by Gus Van Sant (USA) 20-Feb 113m
25-1 3 Tage in Quiberon (3 Days in Quiberon) by Emily Atef (Germany / Austria / France) 19-Feb 115m
25-1 Eva by Benoit Jacquot (France / Belgium) 17-Feb, 102m
28-1 Damsel by David Zellner and Nathan Zellner (USA) 16-Feb 113m
28-1 Museo (Museum) by Alonso Ruizpalacios (Mexico) 22-Feb 128m
33-1 In den Gängen (In the Aisles) by Thomas Stuber (Germany) 23-Feb, 125m